Wednesday, February 27, 2008

New Music worth getting



I just wanted to take a time out from Spring Training in MLB (after reviewing the East Coast teams) and share some new music I've come across lately. Both new bands were discovered with help from the local Indie station, 103.1... they are MGMT and Vampire Weekend. I have both their new albums and both are great from start to finish. Best of all, both will be at Coachella this year so before we get to the end of April, check them out, you won't be disappointed!!!

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

No excuses in NY!

Series of Team Overviews for 2008; New York Mets

Last season the Mets entered play with 17 games left and a divisional lead on the Philadelphia Phillies that stood at 7 games. During the final 17 games though, the Mets would end up having one of the greatest collapses in baseball history. Not only did they lose six of seven games during their final home stand but they also, in the process, lost their divisional lead to the Phillies and the NL Wild Card to the Rockies who leap frogged them after a one game playoff victory against the Padres en route to a NL Title.

With 2007 demise behind them, the Mets head into 2008 with lots of fuel for success. So the Mets final year of playing at the dreadful Shea Stadium venue, should be exciting as they have everything to prove and most definitely everything to lose. In fact, you can almost guarantee that another non-playoff season will mean plenty of change, starting with manager, Willie Randolph.

The good news for the Mets though, and their fans, is this team is GREAT on paper and should not only compete and win the division but should also be considered the front runners to represent the National League against the best of a very dominant AL in the 2008 World Series. I would almost think this team has stronger odds to win the Series in Vegas than their New York counterparts, the Yankees (I just checked and I'm right, Mets 4-1, Yanks 5-1).

The reason for behind all this fan fare and expectations among baseball media and/or Vegas odds makers for the Mets in 2008 is all the talent that floods the clubhouse each and everyday. The Mets have two of the best young players in the game today with shortstop Jose Reyes and third baseman David Wright. Reyes is the prototypical leadoff bat that can hit for average, aggrevate opposing pitchers and catchers on the base paths with 60+ steals yearly and score over 120 runs while hitting a few HR's. Wright not only slugs HR's at 30+ clips but he can also steal 20+ bases and potentially lead the league in RBI's and average... then you add another tremendous veteran talent in outfielder Carlos Beltran who has had 30/30 seasons and commonly scores and knocks in 100 runs yearly and you have a deadly offensive core.

From the mound, leading the charge is Johan Santana (recently acquired from the Minnesota Twins). Santana is considered by many to be the best pitcher in the game today and after him you have Pedro Martinez, who might be the best pitcher over the last decade in the majors... both should and could (if healthy) win 15-20 games with low ERA's. Then closing, is hard throwing lefty, Billy Wagner who is never an easy at bat!

Those six players listed above make up an excellent core that will cause havoc for all opposing teams and push New York to great success in 2008.

As for the rest of the team, rounding out the roster offensively are aging first baseman Carlos Delgado, second baseman Luis Castillo and outfielders Moises Alou and Ryan Church with some spot starts mixed in by players like Marlon Anderson, Damion Easley and Endy Chavez. Catching duties will be split between Ramon Castro and Brian Schneider. Behind Santana and Martinez, the Mets will count on second year pitcher John Maine, veteran Orlando Hernandez and lefty Oliver Perez. Also getting looks will be Jason Vargas and rookie Mike Pelfrey. The bullpen, which is one of the strongest in the game has Pedro Feliciano, Matt Wise, Ambrioux Burgos, Joe Smith, Duaner Sanchez (returning from injury), Aaron Heilman and Wagner.

Projected Lineup:
1. Jose Reyes, SS
2. Luis Castillo, 2b
3. David Wright, 3b
4. Carlos Beltran, CF
5. Carlos Delgado, 1b
6. Moises Alou, LF
7. Ryan Church, RF
8. Brian Schneider, C

Final Five:

1. Fantasy Value: What's not to like about this roster of talent... we have four players that should steal over 20 bases in Reyes (likely to go over 60), Castillo, Beltran and Wright... we have an entire lineup with maybe the exception of Delgado and Schneider that should and could hit over .300 and another four players that are capable of 20+ but in the HR department with Wright, Beltran, Delgado and Alou. Even the bench has depth for deeper NL only leagues as Marlon Anderson, Endy Chavez and Damion Easley can all put up decent numbers. With pitching you have the best name on the planet in Santana, you have another ace that could be a bargain due to recent injury concerns in Pedro Martinez and then you have two great young arms with Maine and Oliver Perez. The bullpen is deeper than the bench and has a top 10 closer in Wagner! Figure it out, draft some Mets!

2. Most likely to be traded: I'll go with Orlando "El Duque" Hernandez. I know he is great in the post season but the Mets have highly touted prospect Mike Pelfrey banging on the door and a great bullpen that could keep El Duque from sticking around there.

3. Break out player in 2008: I have two choices, one is Mike Pelfrey as I think he can win 10-12 games if he has an opportunity to start for part of the year and the other is Ryan Church who was acquired for Milledge. Ultimately I think Milledge has more upside but Church is a solid player that last season hit over .270 with 15 HR's and 70 RBI's in just 470 at bats. Imagine another 100 at bats and playing everyday and you might have 20 bombs and 85+ RBI's... we'll see.

4. Farm Top Five: The name most often mentioned and asked for in trade talks has been outfielder Fernando Martinez. The Mets were lucky enough to hold onto him during the Santana trade discussions and should reap the benefits in a couple of years. Behind Martinez is first baseman Brett Harper, pitchers John Niese and Deolis Guerra (another great name to hold onto from trade talks) and lastly, infielder, Anderson Hernandez.

5. 2008 Record Prediction: 97-65, 1st in NL East

Saturday, February 23, 2008

Phils look to repeat as NL East Champs

Originally Posted on 2/22/08

Series of Team Overviews for 2008; Philadelphia Phillies

My dad is bigger than your dad... my girlfriend is hotter... I'm a better athlete than you... my team is better... this is how it's been all off-season between the two NL East rivals, the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies. Both teams coming out in the media and calling the other out saying they're the team to beat! After all, shortstop Jimmy Rollins of the Phils called it in Spring Training last year and then the Phils went onto leap frog the Mets during the final two weeks of the season and Rollins ended up with his first ever MVP award!

Well, this year the Mets are coming back and coming hard. They made a huge splash by trading for the best pitcher in the game with the acquisition of Johan Santana and that was all Carlos Beltran needed as the Mets centerfielder promptly hailed the Mets as the best! I guess we'll see but one thing for certain is the two most talented teams in the NL East are beginning to compare to those in the AL with the Sox and Yanks. Both the Phillies and Mets poses incredible young talent and veterans surrounding them however the addition of Santana to the Mets has given me the confidence to place the Phillies in the two hole and eventual wild card winner in the NL (West teams will just beat up on each other). Let's look closer at the Phillies roster for the 2008 season.

When assessing the Phils, one usually turns straight for that impressive infield of Ryan Howard at first, Chase Utley at second, Jimmy Rollins at short and whoever is playing third... For Howard who won the MVP award in his sophomore season of 2006, which was then followed up by Rollins winning it last year in 2007, just successfully won something else, his arbitration hearing. Howard was awarded a record $10M in arbitration but I don't think the Phillies mind too much, especially if he continues to hit 50+ HR's a year! With Rollins, he just entered into the top class of current players with an unbelievable season last year. Rollins hit in the leadoff hole for the most part but still ended up with 30 HR, 139 runs, 94 RBI's, 41 steals and a .296 average while playing an excellent shortstop. Then we have Utley who could be the best of three. Most refer to him as the Phils clubhouse leader and why not, he's all hustle (as is Rollins) and really sets the pace. He is by far the most potent second baseman in terms of fantasy baseball. The final piece of the infield has changed yet again as the Phils signed Pedro Feliz over from the Giants. One scary thought on Feliz though is if the Giants didn't want him then whats the deal??? I mean the Giants have the worst offense in the league but couldn't find room for this guy? I guess it doesn't matter, the Phils still might have the best infield in all of baseball.

With the rest of the starters it gets a little more shaky. Two of the three outfield spots seem to be locked up with Pat Burrell in left and Shane "the flying Hawaiian" Victorino moving over to center this year but in right we'll probably see a platoon of newly signed Geoff Jenkins and Jayson Werth. Catcher will be a combo of Chris Coaste and Carlos Ruiz.

On the mound the Phillies have some more question marks but not with their ace, Cole Hamels. Hamels is one of the best young left-handed starters in the game and a top 10 fantasy starter too. The rest of the rotation however includes the on again off again starter / closer in Brett Myers (I for one think he belongs in the rotation), the ever aging Jamie Moyer, the over-priced Adam Eaton and last years durable rookie in Kyle Kendrick. You might recognize Kendrick more recently from a team prank that left Kendrick wondering if he had been traded to Japan. It's pretty funny, check out YouTube for more (click here)... if anyone falters we're looking at two Durbins, one named Chad and the other J.D. to step in. Philadelphia also has Carlos Carrasco in the minors, who is a possible starter too.

The bullpen has a brighter outlook than this time last year as the Phillies were able to add Brad Lidge this off-season in a trade with the Houston Astros. Lidge will be set up by the veteran Tom Gordon and J.C. Romero along with Ryan Madson. Also getting a look in the pen will be Clay Condrey and possibly Travis Blackley.

There are a lot of reasons to like this team and most baseball fans would attest that this will be a fun team to watch on the baseball cable package... and they're most definitely capable of representing the National League in the World Series.

Projected Lineup:
1. Jimmy Rollins, SS
2. Shane Victorino, CF
3. Chase Utley, 2b
4. Ryan Howard, 1b
5. Pat Burrell, LF
6. Geoff Jenkins / Jayson Werth, RF
7. Pedro Feliz, 3b
8. Carlos Ruiz, C

Final Five:

1. Fantasy Value: As was mentioned above, you can't go wrong with Howard, Utley or Rollins and each will probably be drafted within the first three rounds of any draft. Howard is a top five first baseman and probably the most prolific power hitter in the game, Utley is tops at second and Rollins is just behind other NL East shortstops in Jose Reyes and Hanley Ramirez. Burrell should put up solid numbers like 25+ HR's and close to 100 RBI's and Victorino has lots of upside with tons of speed and some pop. On the mound you have an ace in Hamels and some great potential in Myers returning to the mound. Kendrick isn't much as a strikeout arm but he could win 12-15 games for the Phils. Finally, Lidge looked sharp in the second half last year and will continue to put K's in bunches.

2. Most likely to be traded: Assuming the Phils will be in contention all season, I don't expect much movement on the trade side but if they need to improve the club during the season it will probably be a starter and/or relief help that will be brought in... on the out might be Werth (who has some value), minor leaguers or even some depth from the bench with infielders Greg Dobbs and Wes Helms.

3. Break out player in 2008: Not many surprises on this roster but my top two picks are minor leaguer Carlos Carrasco in a late season call-up and Victorino on a more consistent season long basis. Last season in less than 500 at bats, Victorino batted .281 with 12 HR's, 46 RBI's, 78 runs and 37 steals. Expect all those numbers to climb in 2008.

4. Farm Top Five: The Phillies aren't known for having a great farm system in recent years and nothing has changed this season. Most notable and promising names though to go with Carrasco are pitchers Andrew Carpenter, Joe Savery ('07 #1 draft pick), Scott Mathieson and finally a second baseman that is blocked by Utley named Adrian Cardenas.

5. 2008 Record Prediction: 95-67, 2nd in NL East - win NL Wild Card

Braves not feared by most

Originally Posted on 2/19/08

Series of Team Overviews for 2008; Atlanta Braves

For the majority of the 90's and early part of the next decade the Braves were the standard in the National League. But now after two straight seasons without a post-season berth, the Braves are just an after thought amongst the premier teams. Part of the problem with the team has been the constant changes at the top (ownership) and struggle to compete with the likes of other powerhouses financially. In recent years the Braves have rejected the notion of making runs at big name free agents or just keeping their own. We will officially see the teams stance this coming off-season when the team will be forced to dish out large sums of money to keep soon to be free agent, Mark Teixeira. The Braves are likely to just let Teixeira walk just as Andruw Jones did this off-season when he agreed to a two year contract with the LA Dodgers. Although you could make the case that Teixeira, who was acquired via trade during the 2007 season, was obtained to not only make a late attempt towards the playoffs but also fill the hole for Jones (knowing he was on the out).

In the past though, for every big name that left such as Javier Lopez, Rafael Furcal, etc... it didn't really matter because a new player like a Brian McCann or Edgar Renteria would just step in. The Braves have always re-stocked with their own home grown talent or traded for key pieces when needed which is why manager Bobby Cox and former general manager and current team President John Schuerholz have been so widely respected in the game.

But in 2008, the Braves aren't expected to make the playoffs, stretching their current run to three seasons. Bottom line for Atlanta is it's just becoming more and more difficult to fill holes. Just look no further to Jones replacement, which is Mark Kotsay. The Braves did however bring back one familiar face in re-signing future Hall of Famer, pitcher, Tom Glavine. Glavine joins his old-pal and another future Hall of Famer, pitcher, John Smoltz. All they need to do now is trade for Greg Maddux to reunite one of the greatest starting threesomes ever... it's not going to happen but even if it did, we're still talking about three 40+ year old pitchers. It will however be both Smoltz and Glavine along with pitcher Tim Hudson leading the Braves staff and hoping they'll be able to keep a few leads that the potent offense will muster.

Looking further into the offense we see the already mentioned Teixeira at first and across the diamond we have another potential Hall of Famer in third baseman Chipper Jones. Problem with Chipper is he too is getting to be older and has constantly fought off injuries late in his career. My over under for games played in this year for Chipper is 135. The Braves would be lucky to get that. In the middle of infield we have two young players that are both home grown in second baseman Kelly Johnson (he has some pop) and the athletic shortstop (replacing the traded Edgar Renteria) Yunel Escobar. The outfield is still dangerous even without a constant gold glover in Jones with Matt Diaz in left, Kotsay in center and the big bat of Jeff Francoeur in right. Behind the plate will be All-Star catcher, Brian McCann. Other than that, the bench is really thin so the Braves will hope to stay healthy on the offensive side!

On the pitching staff we have Smoltz, Glavine and Hudson but then we have two more injury questions with Chuck James and Mike Hampton (both lefties). If either can't start then look for the Braves to insert one of their many young arms of Jair Jurrgens (acquired in Renteria trade with Detroit), Buddy Carlyle, Anthony Lerew and Jo-Jo Reyes. In the bullpen, there is no more Bob Wickman, which is a good thing but Atlanta also lost Octavio Dotel (a late pick up before the 2007 deadline). Dotel signed a multi-year deal with the White Sox which leaves the closer duties in the capable hands of Rafael Soriano and set-up man Mike Gonzalez. Also in the pen will be Will Ohman and Pete Moylan.

Braves fans, don't expect too much but enjoy the middle of that lineup cause it can put some runs on the board when healthy. Also, if you're a fan of Teixeira, get his autograph now as he may not be in Atlanta past 2008.

Projected Lineup:
1. Yunel Escobar, SS
2. Kelly Johnson, 2b
3. Chipper Jones, 3b
4. Mark Teixeira, 1b
5. Brian McCann, C
6. Jeff Francoeur, RF
7. Matt Diaz, LF
8. Mark Kotsay, CF

Final Five:

1. Fantasy Value: Don't let everything I mentioned above scare you off too much, the Braves will compete but just not past late July or early August for playoff hopes. But there is a lot to be excited about from a fantasy baseball perspective. Just look at the middle of this lineup and you'll see multiple players with 25+ HR potential and 85-100+ RBI's. Chipper Jones and Mark Teixeira will always have great numbers come season end (unless injured) and McCann is a top five catcher. Francoeur is no slouch either and would probably be batting 3rd, 4th or 5th on most other teams. Diaz has a lot of potential and I for one and looking forward to what he can do in a full season starting. Plus the top of the lineup can score a lot of runs if they reach base. Both Johnson and Escobar have great value at their positions, especially Johnson with a weak 2b list. On the reverse, Smoltz is still a top 20 starter and Glavine and Hudson should be slightly above average with Hudson showing a slightly better pitching value due to strikeouts he can get vs. the soft throwing Glavine. Look for Soriano to have a successful year in his first as a closer.

2. Most likely to be traded: This is a tough one, I think the Braves stay pat for the most part but if they fall apart early and know they won't be able to re-sign Teixeira then don't be surprised if the big man is traded. Koktsay is another name that could be moved to make room for Braves prospects.

3. Break out Player in 2008: Two names come to mind, Yunel Escobar and Matt Diaz. I think due to his overall athleticism, I have to go with Escobar as he should hit double digit HR's and have a good batting average while playing a solid shortstop.

4. Farm Top Five: Another Jones is making headlines in Atlanta's organization and it's not Chipper or the departed Andruw but Brandon Jones. This Jones has an outside chance to make the squad with a great Spring Training showing and could play left or center but he is more likely to start in the minors for more training. After Jones, we have pitching prospects Jair Jurrgens and Jo-Jo Reyes and Manny Acosta who could be in the bullpen to start the season. Another talented player is outfielder Jordan Schafer who is the leading candidate for long-term success in center.

5. 2008 Predicted Record: 83-79, 3rd place in the NL East

Nationals set to open season at New Ballpark

Originally Posted on 2/18/08

Series of Team Overviews for 2008; Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals (formerly the Montreal Expos) have played all their home games at the old RFK in our nations capitol since moving to D.C. a few years ago and now, in 2008, the Nationals will finally have a home of their own. Nationals Park (until Corporate naming rights are sold) will be home of the first baseball game not being played in Japan. The Nationals will open up their new state of the art ballpark on Sunday Night, March 30th on ESPN with our current President, George W. Bush on hand to throw out the ceremonial first pitch. Let's hope we don't hear too many boos before a real first pitch is thrown...

Getting the nod for the Nats first opponent are the Atlanta Braves so we're likely to see future Hall of Famer John Smoltz pitching against.... ? Who knows who will be the Opening Day starter for the Nationals and it is for that reason along with some other offensive holes that should keep the Nationals from having a successful season.

On the other hand, the ballpark does look great from the photos found online. Some of the upper level seats will actually have sight lines of our U.S. Capitol Building. Although the team might struggle on the field, at least fans will have a great venue to watch a game and in time the Nationals should have enough revenue coming in to improve the squad. In the meantime, if you'd like more info on the Nationals new stadium, click here.

With the Nats on the field, they'll have young star Ryan Zimmerman at third leading the way but after that we're left with lots of question marks scattered around camp. Offensively, we should see better numbers with the new ballpark, on the flip side, it might also hurt the already dismal pitching staff. In taking a closer look at the team, we have position battles all over. At first base we have the Nats 2006 starter Nick Johnson battling 2007 starter and All-Star, Dimitri Young. Johnson has said to be completely healed from his broken leg injury and already swinging a hot stick but the edge has to go to Young, right? With the middle infield, we have three mediocre players vying for two spots including Ronnie Belliard, Christian Guzman and Felipe Lopez. My guess here is Belliard at 2b and Lopez at SS with Guzman getting called upon for late defensive help. In the outfield, the likely starters are Wily Mo Pena in left, newly acquired Lastings Milledge (via trade from Mets for Ryan Church) in center and Austin Kearns in right. However, Elijah Dukes (acquired via trade with Tampa Bay), Alex Escobar, Ryan Langerhans and Willie Harris are all in camp too trying to pull a starting spot in the outfield. We even have options behind the plate, with Johnny Estrada, Paul LoDuca, Chad Moeller and others. LoDuca should start once he returns from an injury but until then look to see Estrada behind the plate more often than not. Oh yeah, I almost forgot, the Nats also have two Boone's in camp. Both Aaron and Bret were signed to minor league deals and invited to camp. Funny thing here is they're probably battling each other for a spot on the roster, we'll see what happens there in time.

With the pitching staff, we find many names on the roster and in camp but most of them are names no one recognizes including Nats manager, Manny Acta. But, Acta will have to figure it all out by March 30th and then figure out who gets the historical starting nod. Probably the most notable name is John Patterson, who in the past had great stuff and numbers but injuries have limited Patterson for the last two seasons and might again this year. After Patterson, we're left with Shawn Hill who pitched effectively last year but was injury prone as well. The remainder of the staff has no set decisions but topping the list of options are Jason Bergmann, Matt Chico, Tyler Clippard and Joel Hanrahan. Either way, these arms don't have much of a chance at winning much games... fans will just have to hope the bullpen can provide ample relief. Rounding out the staff in the pen are closer Chad Cordero and arms Jon Rauch, Luis Ayala, Saul Rivera, Ray King and others. Cordero and Rauch have made a great one two combination dating back to the Expos days, we'll see if they're still both together at seasons end.

So Nationals fans, enjoy the new park cause you probably won't enjoy too many wins in 2008.

Projected Lineup:
1. Felipe Lopez, SS
2. Ronnie Belliard, 2b
3. Ryan Zimmerman, 3b
4. Dimitri Young / Nick Johnson, 1b
5. Austin Kearns, RF
6. Wily Mo Pena, LF
7. Lastings Milledge, CF
8. Paul LoDuca / Johnny Estrada, C

Final Five:

1. Fantasy Value: How about avoid starting pitching, buy Cordero and Rauch with care and other than Ryan Zimmerman don't depend on anyone in the lineup to produce. Okay, so maybe that's a little too harsh, but not really. One item of note though is the new ballpark should help produce better offensive numbers but the problem remains this team has too many question marks. Pretty much buy with care on anyone!!!

2. Most likely to be traded: This team will not be fighting for a playoff spot and would be a last place team in most divisions but are fortunate enough to have the Marlins sharing the NL East with them. With that said, many are candidates to be traded including either Nick Johnson or Dimitri Young, one of the three middle infielders (Lopez, Guzman or Belliard) and of course we could hear mentions of either Cordero or Rauch moving with whoever remains closing out games.

3. Break out player for 2008: Zimmerman is already considered an All-Star, Kearns and Pena have shown success at times but the most intriguing player on the roster is Milledge. Milledge was once considered a top prospect in the NY Mets system until recent years and maybe a change of scenery and more job security in Washington will be just what Lastings needs to have a break out year.

4. Farm Top Five: The Nationals minor league system isn't in great shape either and their top prospect is a marginal arm in Tyler Clippard (fighting for a rotation spot). After Clippard, the Nats have another arm in Ross Detwiler and three outfield prospects, Justin Maxwell, Michael Burgess and Chris Marrero.

5. 2008 Record Prediction: 68-94, 4th in NL East

Florida building more than a new team

Originally Posted on 2/18/08

Series of Team Overviews for 2008: Florida Marlins

The Florida Marlins came into the league the same year as the Colorado Rockies, back in 1993. Since that time, storied franchises such as the LA Dodgers, Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates have missed out on chances to reach the World Series. However, the Marlins have not only reached it twice but won it each time. Following the Marlins first World Series title in 1997, the organization went through a complete firesale en route to then owner Wayne Huzienga eventual sale of the franchise. From there the team was able to rebuild quickly through key trades for minor leaguers and the development of a few others to win it all again in 2003.

Since 2003, the Marlins have been in the middle of yet another firesale which has caused multiple sub-par seasons and during this past off-season, the organization finally traded away the final pieces from that title season. Many had thought Miguel Cabrera and Dontrelle Willis would be moved but not in the same trade. In fact, Cabrera was close to moving out west to play for the Angels but the surprise team of the off-season ended up being the Detroit Tigers as they gambled with their future for the instant value of two all-stars in Cabrera and Willis, both of whom were playing in their rookie seasons in 2003.

In return for trading Cabrera and Willis to Detroit, the Marlins received six prospects to build their team around with the likes of current all-star, shortstop, Hanley Ramirez (obtained via the previous Josh Beckett trade with Boston years ago) and other parts in outfielders Josh Willingham and Jeremy Hermida along with some decent arms. Among the six players making the move to Florida were highly touted prospects, outfielder Cameron Maybin and starting pitcher Andrew Miller as well as catcher Mike Rabelo and reliever Eulogio De la Cruz.

The other big news for the Florida Marlins has been all the discussion amongst the team and government officials over the construction of a new baseball stadium. One in which the Marlins have never had. To date, the Marlins have had to share space and play in Dolphin stadium (Pro Player Stadium) which has strongly hindered the Marlins ability to maximize revenue thus preventing them from keeping and obtaining the best talent. Currently, the team has a $515M proposal with two counties to keep the Marlins in the city of Miami utilizing the now vacant Orange Bowl. Included in the final proposal is $155 million contribution by the Marlins for the 37,000 seat proposed venue. If approved, the Marlins will be in their new home by 2011, which might be the next time the Marlins have a winning season...

As for 2008, the Marlins will field yet another young team with superstar Ramirez leading the way. The rest of the team is comprised of Mike Jabobs at 1b, Dan Uggla at 2b (although there have been some talks of moving the power hitter to third), outfielders Willingham and Hermida at the corners with the center-field job Maybin's to lose. If the Marlins decide Maybin needs more seasoning in the minors then look for Hermida to move to CF with veteran Luis Gonzalez taking over in right or left. Two positions that still don't have a favorite are 3b (vacated by Cabrera) and catcher. Third will be battled out by non-roster invites Jorge Cantu, Jose Castillo and Dallas McPherson while the backstop will likely be newly acquired Mike Rabelo of Matt Treanor.

On the mound, the Marlins have a few injury problems with both Josh Johnson and Anibal Sanchez laid up on the DL. By default, the rotation will consist of Scott Olsen, Sergio Mitre, Ricky Nolasco and the probable newly signed Mark Hendricksen and rookie Andrew Miller. The bullpen has a little more certainty with names like Henry Owens, flame-thrower Matt Lindstorm and Taylor Tankersley holding up for closer Kevin Gregg.

Fans in Florida by now are use to the rebuilding process so hopefully they'll be supportive this go around as the Marlins strive to get back to the success of 1997 and 2003.

Projected Lineup:
1. Cameron Maybin, CF
2. Dan Uggla, 2b
3. Hanley Ramirez, SS
4. Josh Willingham, LF
5. Jeremy Hermida, RF
6. Mike Jacobs, 1b
7. Dallas McPherson, 3b
8. Matt Treanor, C

Final Five:


1. Fantasy Value: One name worth mentioning, HANLEY RAMIREZ! Whether Ramirez bats 1st or 3rd, he is going to put up huge offensive numbers. Last season, Ramirez, batted .332, hit 29 home runs, scored another 125 while batting in 81 and stealing 51 bases... these are numbers of a premier shortstop and a 1st round pick. Both Willingham and Hermida have solid chances for 20-25 HR's and an average of .275-.300. Uggla has power but always has a low batting average and while Maybin might be a future Alfonso Soriano, he was also only six years old when the Marlins were an expansion team. If he does make the squad, you can expect 10-15 HR's and plenty of steals from Maybin who will probably struggle with his batting average at the get go. On the pitching side, it's too bad Josh Johnson is still hurt as there isn't much value in the rotation, although Miller has ace stuff. Look for Gregg to put up above average numbers in the closers role.

2. Most likely to be traded: Who isn't likely to be traded from this team; it seems anyone that is no longer under control contractually (or an arbitration case) is likely to be moved. However, on this team, veteran additions Luis Gonzalez and Mark Hendricksen (both signed as free agents to one year deals) are likely to be moved to contenders before the July 31st deadline.

3. Break out player of 2008: They traded to all-stars for them so how about Maybin and Miller.

4. Farm Top Five: Excluding Maybin and Miller and you're left with pitchers Chris Volstad, Gagy Hernandez, second baseman Chris Coghlan, first baseman Gaby Sanchez and another arm received from Detroit in De la Cruz.

5. 2008 Record Prediction: 64-98, 5th (last) in NL East

Red Sox going for 3 out of 5

Originally Posted on 2/10/08

Series of Team Overviews for 2008; Boston Red Sox

I can still remember the extra inning home run hit by then Yankee, Aaron Boone against the Red Sox in the playoffs just a few years ago thus prolonging the Curse of the Bambino. But I can also remember the most amazing comeback in MLB post-season history when the Sox came back down 3 games to none to beat the Yankees and eventually win the World Series in 2004 (after a 86 year wait that started in 1918). That season of 2004 placed the Red Sox among the great powerhouses in MLB and ever since they've been considered contenders every year and last season they won yet another World Series title, sweeping their counterpart again, this time the Rockies (Cardinals were opponent in 2004).

So after winning two titles in four years, the Red Sox will look to become a dynasty in 2008 with a potential third title in fives seasons. How will they do it, well it'll be behind one of the deepest rosters in the majors and an excellent farm system protecting them from any serious injuries.

For 2007, the big name off-season addition was Daisuke Matsuzaka coming over from Japan after a record breaking posting fee of $51mm and then followed by a contract of $52+mm and outfielder J.D. Drew and shortstop Julio Lugo (the later two being contracts Sox fans want to forget). In 2008 however, the big news was the deal that wasn't made when the Sox would drop out of the Johan Santana running as did their rival Yankees allowing the Mets to pull in and trade for him.

But enough of who isn't on the Sox, how about who is, which are the same group of players (minus 2007 mid-season pick-up and bust Eric Gagne) that won the Series last year and are clear favorites for the 2008 season.

The offense will have back David "Big Papi" Ortiz, free agent to be (after 2008) Manny Ramirez, Mike Lowell, J.D. Drew, Julio Lugo, last years rookie of the year Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis, captain Jason Varitek and potential rookie of the year in 2008, Jacoby Ellsbury. The bench is pretty solid too with outfielders Coco Crisp, Bobby Kielty, Alex Cora and Sean Casey.

On the pitching front, we have two post-season stars in Josh Beckett and Curt Schilling. Beckett actually won the ALCS MVP award last year. Schilling, who had a tough season during the regular year shinned bright again in the playoffs but has recently had some controversy over his head with an apparent shoulder injury that the Sox didn't detect before signing him to a one-year extension. Whatever the injury is, it didn't seem to effect Schilling during the playoffs so one would think he'll be able to contribute in 2008 albeit with some limitations with overall innings pitched... rounding up the rotation is Matsuzaka "Dice-K," Jon Lester and Tim Wakefield plus Clay Buchholz who pitched a no-hitter in his second Major League start last season. The bullpen has today's best closer in Jonathan Papelbon and great set-up guys in Manny Delcarmen, Hideki Okajima, Javier Lopez, Mike Timlin and Julian Tavarez.

Waiting in the wings are great young stars shortstop Jed Lowrie, first baseman Lars Anderson, outfielders Brandon Moss and Ryan Kalish and pitchers Justin Masterson, Craig Hansen, Darren Hansack, Bryce Cox and Daniel Bard.

With all these weapons, the Red Sox will have yet again, great reason and talent to ensure General Manager Theo Epstein, Manager Terry Francona and the rest of the Red Sox brass will have another generation of Red Sox Nation fans!

Projected Lineup:
1. Jacoby Ellsbury, CF
2. Dustin Pedroia, 2b
3. David Ortiz, DH
4. Manny Ramirez, LF
5. Mike Lowell, 3b
6. Kevin Youkilis, 1b
7. J.D. Drew, RF
8. Jason Varitek, C
9. Julio Lugo, SS

Final Five:

1. Fantasy Value: Are you kidding, the World Champs are covered in great fantasy players! Big Papi is a perennial HR hitter with great RBI and average numbers each year. ManRam may play games (figuratively and literally) but he is still a top 10 outfielder, Pedroia was the ROY in 2007, Lowell had one of his best seasons and will get many chances to drive runs in, Drew should improve, Youkilis is a great buy and Varitek, although getting older is still a very productive catcher. As for Ellsbury, he might just be the next Grady Sizemore. With pitchers, Beckett is a top five starter, Schilling when healthy is great (should be able to buy low), Dice-K put up big numbers his first season and Papelbon is the best closer on the planet. Oh, and don't forget about the Red Sox young arms of Buchholz and Lester.

2. Most likely to be traded: Coco Crisp is good enough to start in this league, too bad for him, he has Ellsbury on the roster with him.

3. Break-out player of 2008: How about all the names discussed in trade talks with Minnesota for Johan Santana... Ellsbury, Buchholz and Lester.

4. Farm Top Five: Two of the three listed above are considered rookies so Ellsbury and Buchholz make the cut. As do Lowrie and pitchers Masterson and Craig Hansen.

5. 2008 Record Prediction: 100-62, 1st in the AL East

Yankees turn to Youth for 2008


Originally Posted 2/10/08

Series of Team Overviews for 2008; New York Yankees

When big name players become available via free agency or possible trades the New York Yankees are automatically in the thick of it. Even if there is no truth to the rumors, the Yankees still become involved because that will inevitably drive the price up for all the other teams to retain their talent or in some cases what comes back in trades. It's a ploy that seems to have started with long-time Yankees owner George Steinbrenner and passed down to his two sons Hank and Hal who have recently taken over the reigns on the billion dollar franchise.

The voice of reason for the Yanks, who is sometimes pushed into the Steinbrenner shadows is General Manager, Brian Cashman. It is Cashman who in the off-season persisted that the Yankees not push the envelope and trade for and sign star pitcher Johan Santana. For Cashman that meant taxing the future too much. For the Yankees, who are expected to win a title every year, it's a tough call to make one way or the other but after running the payroll to $218MM in 2007 (a new all-time high) it does seem wise to hold onto all the Yankees young talent providing great flexibility with the payroll. After all, if the current roster doesn't get it done then trades will be made by the July 31st deadline or in the off-season when players like C.C. Sabathia and Mark Teixeira become available.

So as we head into 2008, the final season of baseball in the house that Ruth built, Yankee Stadium, the team will look to embark on yet again another playoff season but this time without the likeable and long-time Yankee Manager, Joe Torre. Torre who felt spun by the Yanks off-season offer turned down the Yanks and signed with the Dodgers. New York then reached out to another Joe and signed former Yankee and Torre protege, Joe Girardi.

Returning for Girardi among many others will be what many think is baseball's best natural talent today, 3b Alex Rodriguez. Rodriguez who opted out of his contract with the Yanks in the off-season to test the waters with then agent Scott Boras came crawling back to the New York powerhouse knowing no better deal could be had elsewhere. So, here we are, months later and it really feels like these two needed each other, Rodriguez and the Yanks are the perfect match and will keep being a huge draw once moved into the new ballpark in 2009.

Although Rodriguez (Arod) is baseball's highest paid player, it is captain and four-time World Series Champion, SS Derek Jeter that leads the team. Other great Yankee veterans include catcher Jorge Posada and closer Mariano Rivera (both resigned this off-season). There is also other home-grown talent with 2b Robinson Cano (who just signed an extension), outfielder Melky Cabrera, starter Chien-Ming Wang and one of the many steroid stories this off-season with pitcher Andy Pettitte. Recent Yankee call-ups include the three young pitching stars, Joba Chamberlain, Philip Hughes and Ian Kennedy. All three were coveted in trade talks and all three should open the season on the Yankees roster. All of the above players coupled with past free agent signings and veterans acquired in trades like Bobby Abreu, Hideki Matsui, Mike Mussina, Johnny Damon and Jason Giambi and you have one of the scariest and strongest teams in all of baseball, not to mention the most expensive.

With this roster and payroll, no less than a playoff appearance will be acceptable and in the dangerous American League, nothing is for certain. The Yankees have another great team sharing the East with them in their arch-rival, the Boston Red Sox plus the Detroit Tigers, Anaheim Angels, Seattle Mariners and the team that knocked them out last season, the Cleveland Indians to compete against. But if the Yankee starters can improve on their struggles from 2007 and continue to score as many runs as they have in the past then this team will be very hard to beat.

I will say that by not landing pitcher Johan Santana, the Yanks may be lacking a true #1 starter. Thus, they will need to receive solid seasons from Wang, Pettitte and hope that Mussina reverts back to two seasons ago and not his 2007 numbers. If this doesn't happen then the Yankees will have to be more reliant on Hughes, Chamberlain and Kennedy, which could hurt them in their fight to win the East or Wild Card.

The final pieces of the Yanks include players on the bench like infielders Morgan Ensberg, Shelley Duncan and Wilson Betemit and relievers Kyle Farnsworth, Latroy Hawkins and Brian Bruney.

Projected Lineup:
1. Johnny Damon, LF
2. Derek Jeter, SS
3. Bobby Abreu, RF
4. Alex Rodriguez, 3b
5. Hideki Matsui, DH
6. Jorge Posada, C
7. Robinson Cano, 2b
8. Jason Giambi, 1b
9. Melky Cabrera, CF

Final Five:

1. Fantasy Value: Let's just say when your Major League roster costs more than $200mm you're gonna have a lot of fantasy baseball value. Let's start with Arod, who is the #1 player on most lists, then you have one of the top shortstops in Jeter and second baseman in Cano. Damon, Matsui and Abreu are all considered top OF options and even Melky Cabrera batting in the nine hole could produce. At catcher, the Yanks have another top performer in Posada. On the pitching side you have one of the greatest closers of all time with Mariano Rivera and then starters that always win games with Wang and Pettitte. Not to mention the young arms that will attract attention on draft day in Chamberlain, Hughes and Kennedy.

2. Most likely to be traded: I'm sure the Yankees would love to trade Giambi but his contract will make that very difficult so expect him to play out the final year of his contract in New York which leaves young starters Hughes and Kennedy plus some great minor league talent as the most likely tradeable commodities with the Yanks.

3. Breakout player in 2008: We were already given a taste late last season when some of the Yankees young talent got called up but we haven't seen the least of it yet. Expect big things this year from all three pitchers, Chamberlain, Hughes and Kennedy (in that order).

4. Farm Top Five: This system is loaded and we're starting to see the best of the best coming up already (see above) but the top on my list (excluding Hughes as he is no longer rookie eligible) includes Chamberlain, Kennedy, another pitcher Humberto Sanchez and outfielders Jose Tabata and Austin Jackson.

5. 2008 Record Prediction: 95-67, 2nd in AL East, Wild Card

The Third Place, Toronto Blue Jays


Originally Posted on 2/10/08

Series of Team Overviews for 2008; Toronto Blue Jays

Let's be honest, is there a team in baseball that is more likely to finish 3rd than the Blue Jays? I feel like every season the Blue Jays finish third and that's probably because it's true. In fact, the Jays have finished 3rd in the AL East in all but two seasons since 1998, that's a 10 year period!

2008 will most likely be no different with the Red Sox and Yankees battling just above the Jays for the top spots in the AL East but the Blue Jays might be closing the recent gap. The Blue Jays have one of baseball's most well-rounded rosters with offensive threats and a great pitching core. That's how the Jays ended their 2007 season and this off-season has been pretty quiet with there not being much payroll flexibility but the Jays were able to add high energy shortstop David Eckstein and then trade the disappointing Troy Glaus (injured most of 2007) for another questionable 3b in Scott Rolen. Rolen should provide a great boast on the defense side and if healthy will be a great complement to the already other dangerous right handed bats in the lineup, DH Frank Thomas, CF Vernon Wells and RF Alex Rios.

But let's make no mistake, the rosters most impressive asset is the starting pitchers. Potential CY Young candidate Roy Halladay is the Ace with A.J. Burnett just behind him. Rounding out the rotation are young guns Shaun Marcum, Dustin McGowan and the Spring Training battle of Gustavo Chacin vs. Jesse Litsch for the fifth spot. The bullpen should be better in 2008 as B.J. Ryan isn't too far from returning from Tommy John surgery which would allow Jeremy Accardo to return to the set-up role that has other strong arms in Casey Janssen, Scott Downs and Jason Frasor. The Blue Jays at the very least should cause some havoc and remain in the Wild Card hunt through August.

Projected Lineup:
1. David Eckstein, SS
2. Lyle Overbay, 1b
3. Vernon Wells, CF
4. Frank Thomas, DH
5. Alex Rios, RF
6. Scott Rolen, 3b
7. Adam Lind / Reed Johnson, LF
8. Aaron Hill, 2b
9. Greg Zaun, C

Final Five:

1. Fantasy Value: As stated above, the pitching is the best bet with Halladay and Burnett being two of the best when healthy. Young arms Marcum and McGowan should be available relatively cheap and B.J. Ryan slated to return in May to June may become available at bargain prices too. Offensively, Vernon Wells struggled last season but look for him to bounce back in 2008. Alex Rios continues to improve with each season and is now a top 25 fantasy outfielder.

2. Most likely to be traded: Tough question with teams that should compete but my choice will be surplus bullpen arms for offensive upgrades or Adam Lind if he can't win the LF job full-time. Without Lind, the Jays would give more playing time to Johnson and allow Matt Stairs to receive more at bats (which would provide a much needed left handed bat to the lineup).

3. Breakout player for 2008: Alex Rios certainly took this title for the Jays in 2007, although Marcum and McGowan were strong as well. Look for Marcum and McGowan to only get better...

4. Farm Top Five: The Jays don't have much talent compared to their counterparts in the AL East but the top players are outfielders Travis Snider and Ryan Patterson, shortstop Sergio Santos (former D-back), starter Chi-Hung Cheng and the commodity of a young catcher, Robinson Diaz.

5. 2008 Record Prediction: 85-77, 3rd place in the AL East

No More Devil in Tampa Bay Rays

Originally Posted on 2/10/08

Series of Team Overviews for 2008; Tampa Bay Rays

The Tampa Bay Rays have made quite a few changes this off-season, the most recognizable one starting with the change of their name. Since their very first season in 1998, Tampa Bay was known as the Devil Rays but after 10 seasons and 10 losing years, Tampa Bay decided to take the Devil out of their name and are now known as the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Rays also traded away two former top prospects that both played roles in 2008 on the Major League squad with the departures of Delmon Young (traded to Minnesota) and Elijah Dukes (traded to Washington). Both had been looked at as "Devils" in their own right with trouble off the field and in Delmon Young's case, even trouble on the field. You might remember the story from a couple of seasons ago when a minor league player threw a bat at an umpire, yep that was Young. But both are exceptional talents, especially Young who brought young arm Matt Garza to the Rays from Minnesota.

The Rays may not be a playoff contender yet but they have a great farm system and some stars in the making on the Major League Roster which means no team will have it easy against Tampa Bay this year.

Let's look a little further into the Rays roster of talent; Tampa Bay is building with great pieces at the infield corners, possibly the most athletic outfield in baseball and some great young arms in the rotation and veterans in the pen. The Rays will have Carlos Pena playing 1b (the same Pena that knocked 46 HR's in 2007) and potential rookie of the year candidate Evan Longoria starting at 3b. The outfield has speedsters with pop at every position, Carl Crawford in LF, converted infielder, B.J. Upton in CF and oft-injured Rocco Baldelli starting in RF. For insurance purposes, the Rays signed veteran Cliff Floyd in case Baldelli can't play everyday. In all, the Rays are legitimate threats to score 5 to 6 runs a game and win more ballgames then they ever have (not to hard since the current high is 70 wins in 2004).

On the pitching side, the Rays have typically been no less than horrible, that is except for Scott Kazmir and James Shields who have led the rotation in recent years. But Kazmir and Shields haven't been enough. However, this is all about to change. In trading Young and acquiring Matt Garza, the Rays give themselves a solid #3 starter and will let a group of young arms compete for the coveted fourth and fifth spots in the rotation. Leading contenders include Edwin Jackson, Andy Sonnanstine and even younger arms Jason Hammel and Jeff Niemann. So 2008 will be a little shaky for the back-end of the rotation but on the way are three of the best top pitchers in all of minor league baseball with David Price, Wade Davis and Jack McGee.

The bullpen has long time closer and veteran Troy Percival (signed this off-season) joining Al Reyes and Dan Wheeler (acquired late in 2007 from Houston for Ty Wiggington) and possible other arms Trevor Miller, Grant Balfour (funny pitching name), Gary Glover and those that don't make the rotation.

Projected Lineup:
1. Akinori Iwamura, 2b
2. Rocco Baldelli, RF
3. Carl Crawford, LF
4. Carlos Pena, 1b
5. B.J. Upton, CF
6. Evan Longoria, 3b
7. Jonny Gomes / Cliff Floyd, DH
8. Dioneer Navarro, C
9. Jason Bartlett, SS

Final Five:

1. Fantasy Value: The Rays have lots of value and value that may come cheap in auction drafts. This team has plenty of players that could hit anywhere from 15-25 HR's and steal over 20-25 bases with Carl Crawford, B.J. Upton and Baldelli. Pena hit over 40 HR's in 2007 and led the team in RBI's with 121. Then you have Longoria who could be the next David Wright or Ryan Braun. Splitting closing duties will most likely be Percival and Al Reyes and on the starting side, you can't go wrong with strikeout pitcher Scott Kazmir or other solid arms in Shields and Garza.

2. Most Likely to be traded: Down the stretch as the Rays promote younger talent, you may see names like Gomes, Floyd, Bartlett and some lesser valued starters like Hammel and Niemann moving but health will probably play a bigger role. There are always rumors of Crawford moving but I think Tampa Bay would be crazy to move him!

3. Break-out player for 2008: This will be the year of Longoria but next year will be pitchers making a splash in Tampa Bay

4. Farm Top Five: See Longoria above (potential ROY candidate at 3b), future starters, David Price, Jake McGee and Wade Davis and lastly, the future starting SS, Reid Brignac.

5. 2008 Prediction: 74-88, 4th place in the AL East and the Rays best record ever

First Overview, Worst MLB Team?

Originally Posted on 2/10/08

Series of Team Overviews for 2008; Baltimore Orioles

It seems that the Baltimore Orioles haven't played in a meaningful game since back in the mid 90's when the infamous Jeffrey Meier interference call was made helping the Yankees advance in the post-season... since then the Birds have posted one losing season after another. Who's to blame, well, my vote would go to Peter Angelos, owner of the Orioles. He seems to rule the house and bring it down with him. On top of that, revenues are probably declining too as the nostalgia of one of the greatest ballparks in baseball (Camden Yards) wears off more with each season. Angelos was even voted recently as the worst owner in all of professional sports (must be nice walking around in Baltimore with that title). Click here for more: Voted worst owner by Sports Illustrated, Angelos

All in all, the franchise that was once led by the likes of Cal Ripken Jr. now has a roster made up of mostly mediocre and young un-proven players. But there is hope, albeit small. This off-season has seen some progress, with the start of the rebuilding phase. Problem is, it should have started years ago... Now the question is did the Orioles pick up the right pieces??? Time will tell, but one thing for sure is the Orioles are in one of baseball's strongest divisions and one in which includes both the Yankees and Red Sox. Plus the promising Rays (one of baseball's best farm systems) and the Blue Jays who may compete with both the Yanks and Sox in 2008. Thus, it will be years before the Orioles are looked at as contenders. The most likely pick for the Orioles this year, is last in the AL East and another losing season, one that could be worst in baseball for 2008.

With that said, though, let's look at the Orioles off-season moves and breakdown a few of their trades and some that are still expected:

The rebuilding phase started this off-season with the trade of prized shortstop and former MVP, Miguel Tejada going to Houston for a plethora of average arms with promise including potential starters in Troy Patton and Matt Albers and OF Luke Scott. I actually wrote a short piece on this move when it was first reported, Astros trade 1/2 their team for Tejada. I liked the move for the Orioles then and I still do. The Birds needed some depth in a weak starting rotation (knowing Erik Bedard would be traded too) and although neither Patton or Albers could be the right pieces, they're worth the risk for an aging shortstop who's best years are behind him while being one of the highest paid players in the game. Scott actually posted similar offensive numbers as Tejada and given the opportunity to play everyday could prove to be a successful move for Baltimore.

The other big move was the center of attention for what seemed like years. The rumors around Erik Bedard were about as common as Britney Spears latest Taco Bell or hospital outing... but the deal was finally completed last week with Bedard moving to the Seattle Mariners for another list of pitchers headed by reliever George Sherrill and minor league prospect Chris Tillman along with top prospect OF Adam Jones. With Jones patrolling CF in 2008, the Orioles have a solid young OF core. Scott will play left and the most likely candidate to make the AL All-Star team in 2008 and beyond will be in RF, Nick Markakis.

The rest of the starters shape out like this; veterans Kevin Millar, Jay Gibbons and Aubrey Huff platooning at 1B and DH, Brian Roberts (until he's traded) will start at 2B and bat leadoff in the lineup, SS will likely be rookie Luis Hernandez and at 3B, we'll see Melvin Mora. As mentioned above, the starting OF will have Scott, Adam Jones and Markakis with Jay Payton coming in off the bench. Starting at catcher will be Ramon Hernandez.

The rotation will consist of three hold-overs from last season with Jeremy Guthrie, Daniel Cabrera and Adam Loewen with the final two spots open for Troy Patton, Matt Albers, Hayden Penn and Lance Cromier battling it out for the final two spots. Bullpen will include some common names like Chad Bradford, Jamie Walker and whoever doesn't win nods in the rotation. Also coming out of the pen will be newly acquired Sherrill and rookie Garrett Olson. The two may even fight for the closers role with both Danys Baez and Chris Ray out for the year with injuries. Greg Aquino, Esteban Yan, Dennis Sarfate and young arm Radhames Liz may also get looks for the bullpen.

Projected Lineup:
1. Brian Roberts, 2b
2. Melvin Mora, 3b
3. Nick Markakis, RF
4. Kevin Millar / Jay Gibbons, 1b
5. Aubrey Huff, DH
6. Ramon Hernandez, C
7. Luke Scott, LF
8. Adam Jones, CF
9. Luis Hernandez, SS

Final Five:

1. Fantasy Value: I don't expect Brian Roberts to be an Oriole for too long but he has great value for his ability at the plate and on the base paths, expect another 40+ SB season with a good average and runs scored for whoever he ends up playing for (most likely the Cubs). Markakis also has great value as he hit over 20 HR's and had 112 RBI's with a .300 average in 2007. Ramon Hernandez continues to be a solid option at catcher and Adam Jones and Luke Scott could surprise some this year. Don't expect any big seasons from any of the starters but in deeper AL-only leagues some value can be found.

2. Most likely to be traded in 2008: this is easy, Brian Roberts. Also, don't be shocked if it doesn't stop there with veterans like Mora, Millar and Gibbons becoming available down the stretch.

3. Breakout player in 2008: Markakis nailed this down last year, this season, my top option is Adam Jones. Jones may start off slow but come the second half, he should show us all his great potential.

4. Farm Top Five: pitchers, Troy Patton, Chris Tillman and Radhames Liz along with OF Nolan Reimold and 3b Billy Rowell.

5. 2008 Prediction: 61-101, last in AL East

The Ultimate Cleat Chaser


Originally Posted on 1/26/08

After three seasons of working in Minor League Baseball and a short stint being affiliated with a Major League squad, I have a great sense of the term "Cleat Chaser." Basically its slang for baseball groupie but typically referred in the sense of the female demographic. Cleat Chasers are quite the group and usually very entertaining in their own right.

Back in my Minor League days it was very common to see the local ladies come in herds to the ballpark for there shot or glimpse of these good looking pro-ballplayers, they'd befriend one another before, after and sometimes even during games (the dugouts and on-deck circles weren't that far away). But ultimately it was the night life that kept these groups on par with one another. The guys would visit the few bars around town and you'd always see the same group of girls chasing... hence the term "Cleat Chaser." These poor girls may have known what they were getting themselves into but they probably didn't care either. They all had this ridiculous dream of their ballplayer or fling of the week making it big and actually taking them with. The players would all sleep around and sometimes even recycle ladies with one another. What's worse is some of the team would have their actual girlfriends come in town one week and then once they left it was back to work with the normal groupie crew. For some, the plan actually worked. Okay, maybe just one that I know of but the "Cleat Chasers" got what they were looking for and the guys got a few more stories. Heck, I'm not calling out either group, just making light of it. I hear that some of the past chasers I knew are still at it, turning into some what of a Susan Sarandon type from the movie Bull Durham.

I must admit though, when I think of the "Ultimate Cleat Chaser," only one girl comes to mind and she is a beauty. She's one that really doesn't need to be chased and maybe it's the other way around but Alyssa Milano takes the cake for her "Cleat Chasing" abilities. She has not only been linked to New York Yankee pitcher, Carl Pavano, Boston Red Sox starter, Josh Beckett, San Francisco Giants star, Barry Zito but most recently, Dodger pitcher Brad Penny. I guess she really likes pitchers, so much so that I've type casted her... that's not where it ends though. Milano has parlayed her love affairs into the business world and actually created a new cloting line called, Touch, which focuses on women's apparel for the baseball fan. In essence, Milano has her pitcher and new business venture that should create enough revenue to keep her from having to appear on any Who's the Boss or Charmed reunions. Congrats to Alyssa and Brad Penny. Penny, she really seems out of even your league. I guess I should've tried harder to become a pitcher myself... in the end, let's just hope it helps get more wins and revenue for the Dodgers too!

Free Agent Leftovers

Originally Posted on 1/26/08

We're less than a month away from pitchers and catchers reporting to Spring Training sites in Florida and Arizona and yet we still have a huge surplus of Major League veterans waiting around by the phone for their next opportunity to come knocking and in some cases, it may not happen.

It seems most teams are content with where they currently stand, although we do still have multiple trade rumors. Mostly swirling out of Baltimore with the Orioles (pitcher Erik Bedard, 2b Brian Roberts and others) and the Twins in Minnesota (star pitcher Johan Santana). My guess is once these big names move to their new homes, we'll have a few more free agents signed and then there are other teams still looking for a few final pieces and additional Spring Training invitations that some will accept. Overall, most teams are happy to advance their minor league talent and see how they fare before committing extra dollars to veteran commodities that aren't huge difference makers to begin with.

So in lieu of Spring Training and the homeless names out there, here are a list of players that may interest your favorite squad: INF Sean Casey (1b), Tony Clark (1b), Pedro Feliz (3b), common pitch hitters, Mark Sweeney and Olmedo "Killer Tomato" Saenz, utility guys Todd Walker, Eric Hinske Ramon Martinez, John McDonald. OF Bobby Kielty, Reggie Sanders, Shawn Green, Shannon Stewart, Steve Finley, Corey Patterson, Trot Nixon, Kenny Lofton, Luis Gonzalez and of course potential Hall of Famers in Mike Piazza, Sammy Sosa and Barry Bonds. On the pitching front, we still have available, former Cy Young award winner, Bartolo Colon, starters Odalis Perez, Steve Tracshel, Jeff Weaver, Livan Hernandez, Eric Milton, Brian Lawrence, Kyle Loshe, Kip Wells, David Wells and oft-injured Kris Benson and Freddy Garcia. Need some relief pitching help, how about former closer Armando Benitez, or Roberto Hernandez, Antonio Alfonseca, Aaron Sele, Ray King, Jorge Julio, Rudy Seanez, Trevor Miller and Darren Oliver. And then you have the other big name, Roger Clemens, who still hasn't officially retired.

Plenty of names still listed as Free Agents... besides the names of Bonds, Piazza, Sosa and Clemens, does it really matter? What does matter is trades but those talks still are just that, talks.

If you're interested in seeing some team previews for the upcoming season then check back as I'll start to post some organizational outlooks for 2008.

Coachella Lineup Official


A few years back I had some friends from my college years hype up a music festival, Coachella. Now, I've always been a big music fan but must admit sports had always come first. Well, that was until Coachella.

Unfortunately I had to miss Coachella the first year I heard of it, due to work (baseball games) but I went in 2006 and plan to be there every year here on out. Primarily because the World Series is in October and Coachella is the last weekend of April (I can see a few Dodger games on TV).

For me, Coachella isn't just a great music festival, it's one of my favorite annual road trips. I happen to go on a lot of road trips during the course of the year, mostly up and down the CA coast and parts of Central CA but Coachella is unlike any other. For one thing, it involves a great group of friends that I don't see as often as others and for another, it's not a big drinking trip. It's more about good times and good music spread over three days with good friends.

With that in mind, those that haven't been, I recommend that everyone look into it (you can find out more information at www.coachella.com). It may not have all the big familiar names playing this year or even any of the big one's rumored but I'm sure I'll still leave with at least 5 to 10 new bands that I'll love.

Of the names rumored that don't appear on the official list, Beck, Modest Mouse, OutKast, Mars Volta, Feist, The Chemical Brothers, Common and of course Radiohead will be missed.

However, I will be looking forward to seeing Jack Johnson again... and the Raconteurs, Animal Collective, Architecture in Helsinki, Portishead, Death Cab, M.I.A., Rilo Kiley, Cold War Kids, Hot Chip, My Morning Jacket, Cool Kids, Murs, a personal fav in Brett Dennen and many more.

Peter Gammons, back from Vacation

Originally Posted on 1/21/08

Peter Gammons most recent blog entry... it's nice to have him back, enjoy!

Cyberspace exploration

posted: Monday, January 21, 2008 | Print Entry
filed under: MLB


Nevis, nestled in the Caribbean, is a near-perfect place to disappear a month before spring training. The population is the same as it was when Alexander Hamilton was born there in 1755, which is a good thing.

There are four times as many monkeys as people, and you don't have to read or hear the same things about Roger Clemens every day, at least until he's bound to the truth. Also good. There's no MSNBC, which means no "Morning Joe," which is not good.

It is against the law to curse in public. Very good. There was a guy complaining about not liking Tom Brady, which means misanthropy lives everywhere, but even if there are people who can complain about the best and the brightest, there wasn't a tabloid story on Britney or Lindsay to be found, or a Bob's Discount Furniture commercial. Praise the Lord.

Because of the climate, sheep have no wool, so you learn that you can tell a goat from a lamb because goats have their tails up, lambs have their tails down. Hence, it is the perfect place to read David Halberstam's epic "The Coldest Winter," since the Korean War is like a black hole few of us understood until the greatest journalist who ever lived completed his 30-year work. Ronald Brownstein's "The Second Civil War" is a must-read, as is Fay Vincent's wonderful "I Would Have Played For Nothing," child of Lawrence Ritter's "The Glory of Their Times."

Near the end of my stay, a gentleman walked by and said, "Do you have to work on vacation?" He was staring at The Hardball Times Annual 2008 as if it were a business textbook. No need to answer.

One of the aspects that Brownstein examines in his study is how hyperpartisanism has left government polarized and frozen. While Democrats love to complain about the hyper-right, the liberal blogs like The Daily Kos have effectively shouted down the conciliatory nature of the DLC, which has worked so hard to try to make government work. Internet politics have, in many ways, become more important than the grand traditions of the newsweeklies, face time on MSNBC and Fox News or endorsements from the big daily newspapers.

So Internet politics have simply mirrored the world we now know as Internet sports. Sure, some of us old-timers still love a stack of newspapers draped across the front of the StairMaster, or still enjoy sitting at Peet's with a huge cup of coffee and The New York Times, Post and Daily News. But the reality is that while I try not to miss any of those newspapers, they're normally read on the Internet before 7 a.m., and there are sites that I never miss: Buster Olney's blog on ESPN.com; David Pinto's Baseball Musings; Tim Dierkes' MLBTradeRumors.com; Baseball Prospectus (hey, Will Carroll's "Under The Knife" remains the one column that cannot be missed); The Hardball Times; Baseball America; and, because I am from New England and like to be caught up, the Boston Sports Media Watch. I do not want any psychologist to know how many times a day I go to ESPN.com, Baseball Musings or MLBTradeRumors.com to check updates. And, sure, I never miss Curt Schilling.

I make no bones about my strong feelings about the human element. Pure numbers cannot do justice to character and drive and energy. They cannot measure the impact Robin Yount had on teamates when he ran down the first-base line at the same breakneck speed (one scout had nearly 90 Yount games in a six- or seven-year period and claimed he never got Yount faster than 3.9 seconds, or slower than 4.0). Mariano Rivera, Josh Beckett and David Wright are what they are because of who they are.

Stat lines cannot quantify work habits, the ability to learn, emotional stability, etc., but they are important guidelines by which to remind us that, in the end, performance counts.

There are bloggers and sites that savage those in the media who do interact with players and try to spend time understanding their motivations. We don't have to agree. Joe Sheehan wrote a brilliant piece off a discussion we had about Jack Morris, and while I respect his opinion and am still in awe of his research, I still remember what it was like being around those Tigers, Twins and Blue Jays teams when Morris took the ball and the responsibilities, as opposed to the six-inning wonders who looked into their dugouts. I still believe that Morris was the best of his era, that closing two World Series stands for something and that Game 7 in 1991 defined how he transcended the human elements that so alter the sport. That doesn't make Sheehan wrong.

Bill James is trying to define clutch, what made George Brett so different, or sets David Ortiz, when healthy, apart in swagger and presence. You can present me with 4,765 pages of anti-Derek Jeter material; it won't work, I watch him too much.

But those are parts of a greater landscape of arguments. The fact is that we all know more about baseball because of the proliferation of creative thought. Run through Baseball Think Factory, The Baseball Analysts, Squawking Baseball, Sabernomics, Beyond the Box Score, Dan Agonistes, John Sickels' minorleagueball.com. For everything, Deadspin.

Unfortunately, time keeps most of us from getting to those sites specific to teams. It's amazing how many club officials read USS Mariner (Seattle), Fire Brand of the American League (Boston), Ducksnorts (San Diego), Athletics Nation (Oakland), Viva El Birdos (St. Louis), Lone Star Ball (Texas), River Ave. Blues (Yankees), MetsBlog.com, FishStripes (Florida), Dodger Thoughts, Bronx Banter (great writing), The LoHud Yankees Blog, Reds Reporter (Cincinnati), Bleed Cubbie Blue, Brew Crew Ball (Milwaukee) and more.

And you need an update on steroids? Try Baseball's Steroid Era (an informative blog).

There are probably hundreds of sites I have missed. If so, hopefully, they'll run by my laptop. But as we begin the 2008 season, our information, understanding and thought processes have been dramatically altered from the days when a Sunday newspaper notes column seemed significant. And, as fans, we are so much better off for all the work that is being done.

"The Coldest Winter" is not homework. Neither is "The Second Civil War."

Or The Hardball Times Annual. It's what we enjoy.

Thanks.

Dodger Stadium, A True Slice of Heaven


Originally Posted on 1/19/08

The other day a co-worker took a jab at me and he knew exactly where to strike. He told me that Dodger Stadium was one of the worst Major League Ballparks, which I immediately took exception too (rightfully so).

Now, he happens to be from San Diego and roots for one of our many rivals, the Padres but that's no excuse to represent such a stupid, idiotic and ridiculous statement.

Dodger Stadium is one of the last true great older ballparks in the game... and has been for many years (even though the organization is in its second city, Brooklyn to LA). Currently, Dodger Stadium at Chavez Ravine, is the 4th oldest ballpark in Major League Baseball, behind just Wrigley Field (in Chicago with the Cubs), Fenway Park in Boston and Yankee Stadium in NY. Of course all four of the teams listed are four of the most recognizable teams in all of sports which helps in this debate but all four have also maintained their historical parks which run deep in baseball history. Sadly, the Yankees are soon moving out of the confines of Yankee Stadium, the House that Ruth Built. This will propel the Dodgers home to 3rd oldest and only add to the nostalgia of the once empty property that the O'Malley family purchased many years ago.

When the Dodgers first moved to Los Angeles in 1958, 50 years ago, they had to call the LA Coliseum home until Dodger Stadium's construction was completed. In fact, it wasn't until 1962 that the team was able to move up into the Hills of Chavez Ravine. But ever since, the area overlooking downtown LA from one side and facing the great San Gabriel Mountains from the other has been home to Championship Dodger teams and great memories for Dodgers and Baseball fans alike. Dodger Stadium truly is one of Los Angeles most cherished city landmarks.

In doing some research, according to the Dodgers website, over 125 million fans have visited the 56,000 seat ballpark since it opened on April 10th 1962. The first game ever played was against the Cincinnati Reds but the first win didn't come until the next day when the Dodgers defeated the Reds 6-2.

In 1978, the Dodgers were the first team to top the 3 million mark in attendance when the team drew 3,347,845. Since then the Dodgers commonly draw over 3 million fans and in some cases over 3.5 million fans. Heck, they've probably already out sold most of the other teams in the league for 2008 and may well join the Yankees this season with over 4 million seats sold...

Some other facts that I found, since the grand opening in '62, the Dodgers have hosted a MLB All-Star game in 1980 and Olympic games in 1984. The Dodgers have also won four World Championships at Dodger Stadium (1963, 1965, 1981 and 1988). Their first of six titles came back in 1955 while still in Brooklyn and playing at Ebbets Field and second was won while still playing (renting) at the LA Coliseum in 1959.

In 1999, the Dodgers would start to embark on many stadium renovations which are still on-going today with the current work being done on the concourse area of the field level but with each improvement, the stadium has maintained its rich history and has always impressed locals and visitors with a great clean, maintained facility that garners respect and admiration of baseball players and fans.

So before you jump to conclusions, come and check out Dodger Stadium for yourself... as Vin Scully would say, "Dodger Stadium is a true slice of heaven."

I'll leave you with a quote by the legendary broadcaster of the Dodgers, Hall of Famer, Vin Scully


When the sun sets at Dodger Stadium, I am impressed first of all with the mountains because, at this time of year, they are fully defined. It makes me think of some of the great artists who did Western paintings — Frederic Remington, Charles Russell, Frank McCarthy, to name a few — because they must have been inspired by that.

And then the cloud formations. At sunset, they turn pink. And as it continues, the closer you are to sunset, the clouds are still kind of gold. Farther away in center field and right field, you’re away from the sunset and the clouds are turning purple. So you think of an artist’s palette with various colors, and it just takes your breath away.

Down on the field, a ballgame is just beginning. But the sunset becomes a major distraction because it’s so overwhelming it’s hard to take your eyes off it. And then the palm trees — there’s a group of palm trees on the hill behind left field — they are defined against the sky, and they are turning colors with the sunset. You can’t see that anywhere else in a ballpark.”

Vin Scully
Los Angeles Times, August 21, 2003

Coachella 2008 Lineup


Not sure if this is correct or not but I've been forwarded what looks like a possible Coachella 2008 lineup... the official one should be out soon but here is a potential list worth scanning.

Either way, can't wait for another great three days of music and fun!

http://img232.imageshack.us/img232/4003/c2008tt0.jpg

http://www.coachella.com/
(for official TBA lineup)

A few Pet Peeves

Originally Posted on 1/17/08

Over the course of the last week a few things I observed while out in public bugged me... so I thought I'd share a few recent pet peeves.

First off, you know the guy at the bar that has all the nice clothes on, the slicked back hair or popped up collar with all the extra accessories too (e.g. watch, bracelets, bling, etc...). You know who I'm talking about, the guy that thinks he's infinitely better than everyone else in the room... you might even have one as a friend. Well, I've come to accept these types but when they go and add sunglasses to the mix too, that's where I have to draw the line. I mean, c'mon! Do you need to where sunglasses in the dimmed bar? Can you actually see anything? What statement are you trying to make? When I see this, I want to do one of two things; clown the guy immensely or just flat out rip the sunglasses off and destroy the evidence. So far, it's always been the first of the two. The friends that are around and I will point him out, "hey, you see that guy, what a jerk-off," I've noticed bartenders get a kick out of them too.

Second, autograph seekers. Autographs from celebrities and sports stars are always a cherished item, heck I have a great collection myself and hope to continue to add to it but at some point in your life you reach a certain age and you really shouldn't be running arm and arm with kids asking for autographs. I'll admit myself that I extended the time frame for acceptable autograph seeking by a few years (probably last seen around the age of 16 or so) but what's worse is when you got someone that's clearly in their late twenties or worse, late forties still hunting down those signatures. Of course, they usually say its for someone else, like their kids at home but serious, we know the truth. So stop pushing little kids out of the way and get on the web or visit a convention or something... you should be able to find what you're looking for there instead of elbowing your way past other smaller, younger counterparts like I recently witnessed at a Laker game. Figure it out people.

And finally, the flower seller. Not the flower shop or the market down the street that sells flowers but the guy or gal that walks up to you in the restaurant or at the event trying to get you to buy a flower right then and there and in front of your companion, date, friend, or whoever your sharing a meal with. I hate this! Are you kidding, do you have to interrupt us to put me on the spot to sell a flower? If I wanted flowers then I can come to you or visit one of the many floral shops in the area. Of course I never react this way but inside I'm thinking, I'm screwed... if I buy this flower that could mean a lot of different things or send a message I don't want to send. I could also be on the worst date of all time but if you don't buy it then you may come off as a a-hole (possibly even towards someone you like). Furthermore, if you decide to commit and make the purchase then you're stuck at whatever price you're told. I mean, it could be a $10 flower and you'll have to pay it cause you can't go back on it once you commit to buying. Not in front of your date. Really, as I see it, this is a no win situation that can bring an awkward moment to what can be an already awkward night.

If you have any others, feel free to share. Cheers.

Clemens: A Kid in the Cookie Jar

Originally Posted on 1/8/08

Awww, Roger... Mr. Clemens, are you serious? Really? Because to me, you're really looking like a kid that just got busted stealing cookies from the cookie jar and you got chocolate all over your face. I want to believe you, just like I want to believe everyone else that refutes the notion of using illegal substances in Major League Baseball. But I've moved on, I've accepted the fact that this era, this period of time (the last 15 years or so) will forever be known as the steroid era. I know not everyone used but big chunks did and some of the users were other Hall of Fame ballplayers just like you Roger.

Let's look at what we have so far. We have one of the most credible names from our political system in former Senator George Mitchell and numerous sources that have been proven to be credible by the athletes that have verified the sources statements and allegations. Heck, even one of your best friends and longtime teammates, Andy Pettitte came clean and admitted your former trainer, Brian McNamee was telling the truth. Roger, you should've too. But instead you're dragging this on and on and now you'll be this huge story along with Barry Bonds and it'll just take away from the game all season. Don't get me wrong, baseball is still a great sport and it will survive this period just like it always has but do we really have to carry on with all this nonsense?

I mean, why would McNamee lie, what good comes of McNamee lying to Mitchell or Congress? Believe me, I want to be wrong and believe McNamee really is lying but why would he? He's not gaining anything for it?

Roger, as for your recent tape of the phone conversation you had with McNamee, I wouldn't have shared that. Your lawyer gave some bad advice there. To me, it sounded like a desperate plea to prove McNamee isn't a credible person but I wasn't fooled. Plus, what's up with all the bleeps and long sections blocked out? You never told him to just come clean and tell the truth that you didn't use. McNamee to me, just seemed upset over the whole situation but had no choice to share what he did. Plus, during your news conference, I couldn't help but think you were on steroids right then and there. I know you're upset about the truth coming out but talk about roid rage?

Roger, here is what you should've done. Admit you used a few times, say you didn't use until 1998 or whatever date was mentioned. Share what McNamee would later tell Sports Illustrated that you only used a few times in July and August during the 1998, 2000 and 2001 seasons. You were overcome by pressure to maintain your level of success and made a mistake. Explain you never took anything in the off-season or Spring Training but instead when your body was tiring and breaking down during the dog days of summer. You were aging and wanted to compete and not let your teammates down. Admit you made a mistake but hadn't used in years and never will again. You're disappointed in yourself and the whole situation, you hope your fans stick by you and that young athletes can look and see you made a mistake for a few years and righted the ship and enjoyed a great career. Continue to help young pitchers aspire to your greatness (non-steroid seasons). You're a Hall of Famer whether you used or not, remember, it's all about the era you played in and Roger Clemens will still go down as one of the greatest pitchers of all time. But, please let it go.

Now, I really hope I'm wrong! I really do... especially if we're really going to go down this road and be dragged into this story each week by the media. Roger, if you're really going to do this then you better be telling the truth! But if when it's your turn to go before Congress and you lie or avoid the questioning because you have some other trial preventing you from answering the questions truthfully then I will no doubt lose more respect for you as a person than I already have. Please just do the right thing and help let the sport that gave you so much move on... you can still come out of this positive by preaching the use of steroids to be harmful.

Until then, enjoy your cookies Clemens.